Hartnell helps Predators top Coyotes

Hockey Betting Lines

02/20/2007 - Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Scott Hartnell scored a pair of early second- period goals in a 23-second span for the fastest two goals ever scored by any Predator, as Nashville regained possession of first place in the Central Division with a 4-1 win over the slumping Phoenix Coyotes.

Jean-Pierre Dumont had a goal and an assist for Nashville, which briefly lost its grasp on the top spot in both the Central and the Western Conference following Saturday's loss to Minnesota at the Gaylord Entertainment Center, as the Wild spoiled Peter Forsberg's debut as a Predator by scoring three times in the third period en route to a 4-1 victory.

Forsberg, acquired from the Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday in the year's biggest in-season deal thus far, was not a factor in his second game with his new club. While still held without a point in Nashville, the five-time All- Star and 2003 Hart Trophy winner was productive with five shots on goal.

Jason Arnott also scored for Nashville, which has split its last four games. Tomas Vokoun stopped 22 shots in goal. Standout defenseman Kimmo Timonen, who was scratched from the lineup against Minnesota with an upper-body injury, returned for this tilt.

The Predators are an outstanding 22-5-3 on home ice this season.

Oleg Saprykin scored for Phoenix, which is currently mired in a season-worst six-game losing streak, the club's longest since a six-game slide from March 22-31, 2003. Curtis Joseph stopped 31-of-35 shots.

With a penalty shot after getting taken down by Ed Jovanovski, Dumont got Nashville on the board with 1:11 remaining in the first period on a snap shot to the stick side, as the Predators held a 1-0 first-intermission lead.

In the second, they blew the game open. Arnott scored by backhanding in a loose puck after Steve Sullivan's centering pass just 39 seconds into the period.

Then, Hartnell got going. With 5:34 gone in the second, he led a 2-on-1 break and cut across the crease to beat a sprawling Joseph glove-side. Capping another fast-break, 23 seconds later, Hartnell took advantage of a pair of defenders colliding in the slot, and got off a wrister stick side for a 4-0 Nashville lead.

Phoenix finally got on the board when Saprykin deflected in Keith Ballard's missed shot from the point 17:14 into the final period.

Game Notes

Jovanovski got hit in the collarbone with a puck late in the third. He left under his own power, but did not return...This game marked the final meeting between these teams this season. The Coyotes won two of the three previous encounters, but dropped a 4-1 decision to the Preds in the Music City back in October...Phoenix has lost in each of its last five visits to Nashville and continued a seven-game winless streak (6 losses, 1 tie) at the Gaylord Entertainment Center. The Coyotes' last road win in this series came on October 22, 2002.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.