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09/14/2007 - Foxborough, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FC Dallas travels to New England Saturday for a Major League Soccer fixture between two teams that are virtual locks for the upcoming MLS Cup playoffs.
The Revs are currently second in the East, seven points back of leaders D.C. with a game in hand while the Hoops are third in the West, within striking distance of the top two teams - CD Chivas USA and the Houston Dynamo.
In the second and final league match between the two clubs, they will be battling for playoff position as well as sending a message for an upcoming game for the U.S. Open Cup championship, which will be played between the Revs and Hoops at Pizza Hut Park in Frisco, Texas - the home of FC Dallas - on Oct. 3.
The first meeting saw the Revs pull out a 1-0 win in Frisco behind a Taylor Twellman tally in the first month of the season. Both teams have evolved since that early season contest, meaning it should have no relevance to Saturday's fixture.
The Revolution are coming off a 4-2 loss to D.C. United, the current league leaders. Coach Steve Nicol was ejected from that game and will be suspended for Saturday's contest after arguing a non-call that led to D.C.'s go-ahead goal Sunday.
"I'm not talking about a hairline decision one way or the other," Nicol said. "I'm talking about a free kick that everybody within 20 yards could see what it was. Not one of them saw it? That's what they'll probably tell you. And if they did see it - are you kidding me?"
FC Dallas is coming off a 2-0 win over Toronto FC, but head coach Steve Morrow wasn't happy that it took two penalty kick goals to best the expansion franchise.
"I didn't think it was our best night," Morrow said. "We're happy to get the win and I think we deserved to get three points. It's often the sign of a good team when you don't play your best, win 2-0 and keep a clean sheet."
The Hoops will have to step up their game considerably to be successful at Gillette Stadium against the second highest scoring team in the league. TFC, currently on a league-record 732 minute scoreless streak and the lowest scoring team in the league, had numerous quality chances on a shaky Dallas defense last week.
"We certainly gave up a few more opportunities than I would have liked and at times, it was a bit uncomfortable," Morrow said of the Toronto fixture. "They got the ball into the box a lot. I thought we needed to get a little more pressure on that first ball and stop the delivery in the first place. We could have done a better job in those situations of marking in the box. I thought we dealt well with their direct style for the most part."
The Revs have a number of attacking options with Twellman and his team-leading 12 goals leading the way. Andy Dorman, Pat Noonan, Adam Cristman, Shalrie Joseph and Steve Ralston are just a handful of players who can find the back of the net on the New England roster.
New England will also have to be wary of the Dallas attack that features Juan Toja, Carlos Ruiz and Denilson among others. Denilson, the league's latest designated player signing, scored his first MLS goal last week against Toronto and is slowly finding his groove with his new team.
"He nearly got on the end of a few things," Morrow said. "We just have to get used to the way Denilson plays. When he gets on the ball, we have to make runs. I think it will take a few games to adjust to that."
After Saturday's fixture, New England will travel to Eastern rival Red Bull New York for a Sept. 22 fixture while the Hoops host playoff bubble team, Chicago, on Thursday.
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In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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